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BMAD-METHOD/src/modules/bmm/testarch/knowledge/probability-impact.md
Murat Ozcan b8814d372f Replaced the old TEA brief with an indexed knowledge system: the agent now loads topic-specific
docs from knowledge/ via tea-index.csv, workflows reference those fragments, and risk/level/
  priority guidance lives in the new fragment files
2025-09-30 10:16:51 -05:00

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Probability and Impact Scale

  • Probability
    • 1 Unlikely: standard implementation, low uncertainty.
    • 2 Possible: edge cases or partial unknowns worth investigation.
    • 3 Likely: known issues, new integrations, or high ambiguity.
  • Impact
    • 1 Minor: cosmetic issues or easy workarounds.
    • 2 Degraded: partial feature loss or manual workaround required.
    • 3 Critical: blockers, data/security/regulatory exposure.
  • Multiply probability × impact to derive the risk score.
    • 13: document for awareness.
    • 45: monitor closely, plan mitigations.
    • 68: CONCERNS at the gate until mitigations are implemented.
    • 9: automatic gate FAIL until resolved or formally waived.

Source: Murat risk model summary.